Loans for CCJs Made Easy

Posted on January 30th, 2008 in CY Direct by cy-direct-online

Loans for CCJs Made Easy

In the highly paced financial life, one can easily make mistakes in planning the expenditure and the actual amount he/she needs to borrow and the ramification is your inability to payback in time. Under these circumstances your creditor may file a case and you are provided with another 6 months to repay the money borrowed. In case you can’t payback within this time a county court judgment is going to hang out with you for another 6 years irrespective of whether you clear the debt within these years. That is all about nitty-gritty of county court judgment. Now, in case you need a loan during the period of CCJs then you may feel life getting too tough as getting a loan against CCJs is difficult. However, increasing competition forces the lender to ponder into newer areas and customers. And loans for CCJs are a result of one of such efforts put in by the lenders. These loans provide you with money that can be used to clear the current debt and for other purposes as well.

Loans for CCJs are available in both forms, secured as well as unsecured. As the name suggests secured loans will ask you to offer some collateral against the amount borrowed. Unsecured loans keeps you free from risking your collateral, however the interest rates are higher. An advantage of secured loan is that, lenders provide you with the option to remortgage your collateral, if the value of the same increases during the period of loan. This brings you some extra money. Loan term is of around 5 to 6 years. The amount borrowed will depend on your need, ability to payback and also on your lender. Interest rates are generally high with these loans as lenders are at high risk of losing their money.

Loans for CCJs help you to improve your credit score which can prove to be of great advantage to procure a loan in future at lower interest rate. Once you clear your debts with the money you get from these loans, you can write to credit reference agencies to update your credit score. After the period under CCJs is over you get into a position with good credit score.

Andrea Fletcher is an MBA with a Master’s in Finance. She has an expertise in writing on topics related to finance. Here she shares her views on CCJs homeowner loans, loans for people with CCJs , secured loans CCJs, CCJs cash loans , CCJs loans.For more information log on http://www.ccjsloans.org.uk

Loans for CCJs Made Easy / Author: Andrea Fletcher

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    Semantic Web Services

    Posted on January 30th, 2008 in CY Direct by cy-direct-online

    Semantic Web Services

    It’s always exciting to get a glimpse of a new innovative technology just before it really takes off. One of the more interesting Web prospects is Semantic Web Services.

    Today, Web Services are self-contained, self-described, component applications that can be published, located, and invoked across the Web. Web Services provide a standard means of interoperating between different software applications running on a variety of platforms. eXtensible Markup Language (XML) provides the extensibility and language neutrality that is the key for standards-based interoperability of Web Services. They perform functions that can include anything from simple query responses to complex business processes. Once a Web Service is deployed, other applications can discover and invoke it. At present, Web Services require human interaction for identification and implementation.

    Tim Berners-Lee, the inventor of the Web, has suggested that the integration of Web Services and Semantic Web technology could offer significant performance improvement for Web applications. Integration could combine the business logic of Web Services with the Semantic Web’s meaningful content. There are several areas where the two could work well together. For example, the current technologies for discovery (Universal Description, Discovery and Integration, UDDI), binding (Web Services Description Language, WSDL), and messaging (Simple Object Access Protocol, SOAP) could use an ontology (Web Ontology Language, OWL) to provide automatic Semantic Web Services thereby allowing fast interaction with Web business rules’ engines.

    Through the Semantic Web, users and software agents would be able to discover, invoke, compose, and monitor Web resources offering particular services with a high degree of automation. Recent industrial interest in such services and the availability of tools to enable service automation suggests the possibility that fast progress can be made. Ontology Web Language (OWL) for services (OWL-S) may be the most viable application.

    Web Service Architecture requires that discrete software agents work together to implement functionality. These agents must communicate by protocol stacks that are less reliable than direct code invocation. Therefore, developers must consider the unpredictable latency of remote access, and take into account issues of partial failure and concurrency.

    To make use of a Web Service, a software agent needs a computer-interpretable description of the service and the means for access. An important goal for Semantic Web markup languages is to establish a framework for making and sharing these descriptions. Web sites should be able to employ a set of basic classes and properties for declaring and describing services, and the ontology structuring mechanisms of OWL provides the appropriate framework to do this.

    OWL-S is a high-level ontology, at the application level that is meant to answer the what- and why-questions about a Web Service, while the how-questions are addressed as part of WSDL. An Ontology is a taxonomy ( classes and relationships) along with a set of inference rules.

    As a result, an ontology for Web Services would make Web Services machine understandable and support automated Web Service composition and interoperability.

    Thereby providing automated functions for:

    * service discovery,
    * service execution,
    * service composition,
    * service monitoring.

    Discovery: A program must first be able to automatically find, or discover, an appropriate Web service. Neither Web Service Description Language (WSDL) nor Universal Discovery and Description language (UDDI) allows for software to determine what a Web service offers to the client. A Semantic Web service describes its properties and capabilities so that software can automatically determine its purpose.

    Invocation: Software must be able to automatically determine how to invoke or execute the service. For example, if executing the service is a multi-step procedure, the software needs to know how to interact with the service to complete the necessary sequence. A Semantic Web service provides a descriptive list of what an agent needs to be able to do to execute and fulfill the service. This includes what the inputs and outputs of the service are.

    Composition: Software must be able to select and combine a number of Web services to complete a certain objective. The services have to interoperate with each other seamlessly so that the combined results are a valid solution.

    Monitoring: Agent software needs to be able to verify and monitor the service properties while in operation.

    With these capabilities we will be able to program agents to locate and utilize Web Services all automatically.

    REFERENCES:

    Connections: Patterns of Discovery

    Developing Semantic Web Services

    Web Site:
    Video Software Lab

    Semantic Web Services / Author: H. Peter Alesso

    Occupation:
    H. Peter Alesso is an innovator with twenty years of research experience at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL). As Engineering Group Leader at LLNL, he led a team of computer scientists and engineers in a wide range of successful software and hardware research projects. He has published several software titles, numerous scientific journal and conference articles, and five books.
    http://www.videosoftwarelab.com

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    Arthritis Explained What You Need To Know

    Posted on January 30th, 2008 in CY Direct by cy-direct-online

    Arthritis Explained - What You Need To Know.

    Arthritis is a condition that affects the musculoskeletal system including the joints, causing stiffness, inflammation, pain and eventually damage to the joint cartilage. The joints are protected by tissue called cartilage which ensures the ends of bones don’t rub against one another. They are like the glands in our body and the cells they are made of are called chondrocytes. All chondrocytes have a life cycle and when they die, new ones are made to take their place.

    When there is long time inflammation, cartilage cells are destroyed and die faster than the body’s ability to replace them. This is especially true if there has been an injury or there is not enough proper nutrients in the body to repair the joint. The condition causes damage where instability, deformities and joint weakness can obstruct daily life. Arthritis is normally treated with physical therapy, medication and includes changes to the person’s way of life or lifestyle. If an arthritis patient does not get any relief from medication and other forms of therapies then the last option they can resort to is joint replacement.

    Arthritis is mainly categorized into two types, ‘localized’ and ‘generalized’ depending on which areas are affected (body or the joints). They are then sub categorized. Localized conditions are bursitis and tendonitis and they affect the soft tissues surrounding the bones and joints. A sub-category of localized arthritis affects one or some of the joints like hip or knee joints. It could also be that the patient is affected in a more general sense with no inflammation or signs of swelling. In this condition there is no evident kind of damage caused to the joints and is known as Fibromyalgia. This kind of arthritis is widespread among people.

    The second sub category is one where there is inflammation and the whole body is affected. Under this category, rheumatoid arthritis would be an example of a condition you would see, along with psoriatic arthritis and gout. Other generalized conditions are polymyositis (muscles); systemic lupus erythematosus (skin, kidneys, or other organs); and vasculitis (any organ).

    An individual is capable of having more than just one arthritis type and it includes over one hundred different medical conditions that are known to affect roughly forty six million adults and three hundred thousand children within the United States. The condition is most common as osteoarthritis in adults age 60 and above but it can start as early as infancy. The number of people suffering out of this condition is increasing proportionally with the increasing average age of the American population. With old age setting in people suffering with arthritis is increasing day by day.

    The prime cause of disability in the United States of America is caused because of arthritis; the American population spends over one hundred and twenty four billion dollars on medical care and other related expenses for treating arthritis. Individuals can help prevent osteoarthritis by following a few simple steps: Maintaining appropriate weight and consuming fresh fruits and vegetables as a good source of vitamins c and d. There should also be sufficient calcium intake, 1000-1500mg per day for adults. In addition regular, moderate exercise can help preventing sports injuries that can aggravate a condition.

    ou can find many more about Arthritis and related articles at Natural Arthritis Pain Relief

    For all your Arthritis needs, interests and hobbies, please visit Rheumatoid Arthritis Symptoms News

    Arthritis Explained - What You Need To Know. / Author: Scott G.

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    Smile You Are On Hidden Spy Camera

    Posted on January 30th, 2008 in CY Direct by cy-direct-online

    Smile You Are On Hidden Spy Camera

    In England it is reported that your image is captured several hundred times a day by hidden and surveillance cameras. There are currently 4.2 million CCTV cameras in Britain. More are planned in next few years. There is one for every 14 people in the country.

    There is some anecdotal evidence that the U.S. is in the process of catching up. It seems every night there is some hidden camera story on the news:

    –a burglary at a convenience store

    –a robbery at a big box store

    –a nanny cam incident

    –perverts trying to hook up with underage kids

    –the latest FBI sting

    –a congressman on vacation at a special interest group’s expense

    Those are some examples-the list is huge.

    That is just what you see on the early news.

    Of course most of the cameras in our area are traditional security cameras. Check out a casino, big box store, airport, local intersections the list grows every day.

    Then toss in the “you tube” craze, nanny cams, home security systems and you have a whole different set of needs for spy cameras. And it is growing like crazy-the weirder the better. There seems to be no end to the crazy videos out there.

    A local shop that sells hidden cameras reports:

    –a 45% increase in residential sales.

    –Hidden camera sales are up, too.

    –the trend shows no sign of stopping.

    Hidden cameras can be put into just about anything from a mirror to a water bottle, from a radio boom box to a baseball cap-just about anything. The more common the object is the better.

    Another contributing factor to the growth of hidden cameras is cost. As the cost of hidden cameras comes down, they become more accessible to more folks.

    So if you want to know what is going on when you are not around at home, at work, at your business or wherever get a hidden camera and FIND OUT. Everyone else will be watching you-don’t miss the boat.

    Jack Krohn is the #1 author of Home Security Articles in the country. He owns SECURITY SOLUTIONS a one stop resource that provides solutions and answers for all your self defense and home security problems.

    Get yourself a WALL CLOCK HIDDEN SPY CAMERA and find out what is going on when you are not there.

    Home of the BEST SELF DEFENSE PRODUCTS.

    Check out our COMPLETE SYSTEMS

    Smile You Are On Hidden Spy Camera / Author: Jack Krohn

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    A Guide to the Best Anti Aging Skin Care Products

    Posted on January 29th, 2008 in CY Direct by cy-direct-online

    A Guide to the Best Anti Aging Skin Care Products

    When it comes to looking and feeling great, the right anti aging skin care product is truly a necessity. There are literally thousands of different products that you can choose from these days, and in fact the largest growth area in cosmetic facial treatment in general is related to aging. People are living longer and wanting to keep their healthy, youthful looks for as long as they can.

    Although it is impossible to stop the natural aging process, there are some great anti-aging skin care products out there that you can use in order to delay it as much as possible. Depending on your age, skin type, and genetic makeup, there are going to be a few particular products that will be especially effective and well suited for you.

    The Options

    When it comes to anti aging skin care products, the market is very wide, and there are tons of different variations for all skin types, with leading brands including Lancome, L’Oreal, and Clarins, just to name a few of the many.

    It is best to start as early as possible to find the perfect anti aging cream and skin care products, but there are a few in particular that have shown to be extremely effective, one being Cellex-C. This is an incredibly new and innovative anti aging skin care product treatment that utilizes a unique patented complex of vitamins and minerals as an effective anti aging formula to improve the appearance of older looking skin.

    This product works by helping to reinforce the outer layer of the skin’s natural defenses against oxy-radical attack, and the formula also contains certain constituents that the skin needs in order to encourage a firm and elastic skin quality. There is really no other anti aging skin care product on the market today that offers the same benefits and effects, and it is definitely worth checking out.

    There are many other products to choose from as well, and just remember that any good anti aging product will revitalize your skin and reduce the signs of aging, as well as significantly diminish the appearance of fine lines and wrinkles, smooth rough skin texture for ultimate skin care, clear darkening under the eyes, hydrate skin dryness, produce health skin coloration, stimulate the renewal of skin cells, and restore elasticity to sagging skin. Also remember that good anti aging products are not cheap, so if you want to stay looking great then you are going to have to be willing to spend a bit of cash.

    You can find many more Anti Aging Wrinkle Cream related articles at Anti Aging Wrinkle Cream

    For all your Anti Aging Wrinkle Cream needs, please visit http://www.new-anti-aging-skin-care.com

    A Guide to the Best Anti Aging Skin Care Products / Author: Scott G.

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    British And American Tourists Hit For Summer Holidays

    Posted on January 29th, 2008 in CY Direct by cy-direct-online

    British And American Tourists Hit For Summer Holidays

    Lower currency exchange rates are responsible for changes in summer travel plans for many British holidaymakers.

    The value of the euro is increasing, while the value of Britain’s pound is on the decline. This situation is changing the way people travel. A trip that used to be affordable has holidaymakers rethinking their plans because of the rising costs.

    The British pound is following in the footsteps of the U.S. dollar. Compared to the euro, it is at an all-time low. While the dollar has dominated the market for nearly a century, the euro is likely to take its place in the next seven years. Analysts have predicted a bad year for the British pound, as well.

    A Troubled Economy

    The British economy could be in trouble. The U.K. is facing the same issues as the U.S. as far as financial and real estate trends. The real estate market in the U.K. is down, and it is getting increasingly difficult for middle-class people to buy a home.

    The declining housing market is leading banks to stop writing mortgages altogether. If this happens across the board, it will put a freeze on the buying and selling of homes in the U.K.

    What the Falling Pound Means for British Holidaymakers

    The price of travelling is rising for British holidaymakers as their money is losing value in the global market. Changes in the value of the dollar and the euro have limited people’s chances of travelling on holiday.

    Many in the U.K. are accustomed to taking many holidays throughout the year. However, the declining value of their money is putting limits on where they can travel and how often. People may be forced to change their holiday travel plans because it is getting more expensive to travel in the eurozone.

    A popular holiday destination for British travelers has been Majorca, Spain.

    The island of Majorca is a peaceful place for holidaymakers to retreat for a relaxing vacation filled with fun in the sun.

    The British are fond of taking trips to Mallorca - also known as Majorca - because it is a relatively inexpensive holiday but changes in the value of the pound and the euro have made it less affordable.

    However, there still are a number of affordable options for travellers who want to experience all the adventure and beauty of Mallorca and stay in one of the good  hotels in Mallorca

    One option is to secure a good deal on the front end. Booking airfare and the hotel at the same time can save money. These packages offer good savings over buying them separately. Last-minute and all-inclusive deals are other options for saving money on hotels and holidays in Mallorca.

    There is also the option of taking a shorter escape to Mallorca. Book a trip of just a few days to relax and rejuvenate in the island sun.

    Holidaymakers also can shift their focus from spending extra money on activities and high-end dinners to simply enjoying the breathtaking beauty and sweeping vistas or relaxing on the beach.

    Fewer Americans Travel to Europe

    Just as British holidaymakers have to adjust their summer travel plans, Americans are also changing their travel plans because of the rising euro.

    The dollar also is doing poorly against the euro. The changes in currency values are making it just as challenging for Americans as it is for the British to travel to different areas of Europe.

    European trips are costing more money than they used to and this is affecting visitors on a global level.

    Visitors to Mallorca and all other areas of Spain and Europe will have to plan well and be creative to get the most from their 2008 vacations.

    Visitor details for Majorca holidays and flights to Majorca are at yourmajorca.net

    Other information includes a map of the island with today’s Majorca weather, along with a five day Majorca weather forecast.

    British And American Tourists Hit For Summer Holidays / Author: Robert Palmer

    Occupation: Webmaster
    Webmaster at ArticleTrader.
    http://www.articletrader.com/

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    Enforcing Parental Responsibility to Pay Child Support

    Posted on January 29th, 2008 in CY Direct by cy-direct-online

    Enforcing Parental Responsibility to Pay Child Support

    If a parent does not obey a support order, he or she may be found in contempt of court. A contempt action may be filed against the non-custodial parent who fails to make support payments or does not maintain the required medical insurance. Non-custodial parents found in contempt of court may be fined, sentenced to jail or both. The judge may order the non-custodial parent who is unable to pay to enroll in the Fatherhood Program. In addition, the non-custodial parent is still obligated to pay the full amount of past-due support. The child support order may also be enforced through:

    • Withholding child support from paychecks, unemployment or weekly worker’s compensation benefits.
    • Intercepting federal and/or state income tax refunds.
    • Reporting parents owing $7,500 or more in child support payments to credit bureaus.
    • Suspending or revoking driver’s, professional or occupational licenses for failure to pay child support.
    • Reviewing and changing child support orders periodically.
    • Intercepting lottery winnings of more than $5,000.
    • Filing contempt of court actions, which may result in a jail sentence if the non-custodial parent is found in contempt of court.
    • Filing liens to seize matched bank accounts, lump sum worker’s compensation settlements and real or personal property.
    • Denying, suspending or revoking the passport of someone who owes more than $5,000 in child support.

    http://www.ocse.dhr.georgia.gov/portal/site/DHR-OCSE/

    Enforcing Parental Responsibility to Pay Child Support / Author: Deponex

    Occupation: Litigation Support Services
    • Extensive, well-rounded background with legal, banking and business firms for over 20 years • Expert knowledge of MS Office Suite, Windows XP, QuickBooks, Real Legal Binder, Acrobat Pro • Typing speed 75+ wpm • Bookkeeping experience • Excellent organizational skills • Working knowledge of rules of civil procedure and local rules of Georgia civil and USDC courts • Familiarity with court forms and procedures • Ability to write clearly and concisely • Ability to manage time and resources efficiently • Ability to multitask and reprioritize throughout the day • Confidentiality Guaranteed • Notary Public
    http://www.deponex.com

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    Acupuncture You re Going to Stick Me with What

    Posted on January 28th, 2008 in CY Direct by cy-direct-online

    Acupuncture - You’re Going to Stick Me with What?!

    Acupuncture is an ancient and innovative Chinese Medicinal procedure, similar and linked to the other ancient techniques of Acupressure. Acupuncture treatment heals while keeping the body healthy and stress free. The procedure involves inserting fine needles within the skin on predetermined points or meridians, considered energy pathways similar to acupressure. The positive energy that is responsible for good health and a state of wellbeing is know as chi or qi and flows through the energy points known as the meridian. When a person experiences sickness or injury the chi gets blocked and positive energy stops flowing. There are totally 14 paths of energy meridians in our body and 365 acupuncture points distributed on the surface of the body along these 14 meridians.

    Special needles or acupressure used at precise locations along these meridians release the blockages by stimulating the trapped chi. This can be compared to a river blocked with debris. Removing the blocking debris allows the river to freely flow without obstruction. Chi, depending on the situation, may flow either too slowly or too quickly - in either case, acupuncture is normally used to regulate the energy’s pace.

    Within China, this particular form of medicine has been being practiced for a minimum of four thousand years, with all of these needles being found within archaeology digs of the late Shang Dynasty. There are three types and they are; Five Elements, Traditional Yin / Yang Theory and Western (or medical Acupuncture). Although all three have the same system of points and they use similar methods of diagnosis, each takes a dissimilar approach towards treatment of an illness and its cause. Alternative approaches are taken to arrive at the basic cause and treatment of an illness.

    The five elements acupuncture, being strictly based on Chinese medicine’s five element cycle, believes or assumes that a particular illness is most likely to be caused by either a physical cause or emotional stress. The inner stress has to be treated and eased in order to heal and alleviate the physical symptoms. As the emphasis in five elements is on treating the underlying cause of an illness, it can be a slow process reaching full recovery although it is possible. According to the Yin/Yang theory the overall balance of the Yin and Yang has to be maintained for good health. Simultaneous stimulation of more than one element is achieved by stimulating the different acupuncture points on different meridians together.

    Western Acupuncture uses a combination of both Eastern and Western medical techniques, focusing on critical and vital short-term treatment. Among the two categories of medical benefits of Acupuncture, the first type, Anesthetic Acupuncture finds its place in surgeries and dental procedures. Symptomatic or “first aid” is the second sub category. This is used mainly for temporary analgesic pain relieving. Reputable medical research has found it to be effective in treating depression, allergies, asthma, arthritis, infertility, gynecological disorders, migraines and high blood pressure. However, similar to several of the medicines used for energy, acupuncture is most effective when it is used for treating persistent conditions that don’t respond readily to conventional medicines, or when dealing with all of the disorders that are related to the lifestyle of that person.

    You can find many more Acupuncture and related articles at Acupuncture Body Points

    For all your acupuncture needs, interests and hobbies, please visit Acupuncture Weight Loss

    Acupuncture - You’re Going to Stick Me with What?! / Author: Scott G.

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    Franchise Loans To Finance That New Personal Project

    Posted on January 28th, 2008 in CY Direct by cy-direct-online

    Franchise Loans To Finance That New Personal Project

    You have found a franchise you would like to join but you need some starting capital to become that entrepreneur. Therefore, you think about financing all the costs of starting up your own franchise business with a loan and you wonder: are there franchise loans? The answer to that question is fortunately YES!. There are lenders associated with franchisers that can provide all the funds needed to start up your business.

    However, franchise loans are not just  personal loans you can obtain with little hassles. The requirements for approval are more complex because the amounts involved tend to be significantly higher. Therefore you will need to show proof of several facts and meet different requirements to demonstrate that you are fitting and reliable. Only then a lender will provide the funds to finance a project that, apart from the borrower, has risks of its own.

    Who Provides Franchise Loans?

    Franchise loans are available for many different types of businesses. As regards to the lenders that provide these loans, prime lenders that deal with commercial and  business loans usually offer franchise loans among their financial products. Also, there are local lenders that provide this kind of financial assistance. And finally, the very companies offering to sell franchises may be associated with a lender or have a financial institution of their own that provides financing for their projects.

    Tips for Starting up

    A good franchise record will make financing a more attractive investment for the lender. Therefore, choosing a well established business with products that have been proved to be marketable and appealing to customers is the most important presentation card you can offer. With your application you should include as much documentation as possible regarding the franchise you are planning to purchase with the loan.

    Also, it is important to prepare information about your business. You need to think about logistics, prepare your financial statements, stock and inventory, etc. All this information needs to be clear and free from obscurities. The lender needs to see your franchise project and know that you will be making enough money out of it so you can repay the loan without hassles.

    Where To Find Opportunities on Franchises And Financing

    If you have not decided yet which kind of business plan you are going to undertake, and even if you do but you still do not have the financing for starting up and need to find a lender, the place to go to find the information and contact details to get started is the internet. There are many online sites offering tons of data about different franchises and even reviews by those who purchased a franchise or forums where ideas for optimizing the businesses are shared.

    As regards to the lenders, if the franchise does not offer financing too or the franchiser is not associated with a particular financial institution, you will need to resort to either traditional lenders, banks or financial institutions you are familiar with or do some research. Again, for that purpose, the internet will come in handy. There are many online lenders offering promotions on franchise loans and they can provide you with any additional information and forms you will need to fill either online or offline in order to effectively apply for your franchise loan

    Lara Sawyer is a professional loan advisor who helps people to secure Free Government Money and Unsecured Loans. At http://www.fastguaranteedloans.com/ you’ll find all of her tips on how to get approved without hassles.

    Franchise Loans To Finance That New Personal Project / Author: Lara Sawyer

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    Long Term Information Technology Forecasting

    Posted on January 28th, 2008 in CY Direct by cy-direct-online

    Long Term Information Technology Forecasting

    Yogi Berra once said, “Predictions can be tricky, especially when you’re talking about the future.” And looking forward is certainly more perilous than using our 20-20 hindsight. However, the future of rapidly converging technologies is not so complex and uncertain that a few reasonable speculations can’t be discerned.

    The truth about the biggest scientific breakthroughs is that they often come when a scientist takes a leap of imagination out of what is probable into what just might be possible. Scientists seek to understand their surrounds through three remarkable human characteristics: discovery, invention, and creativity.

    Discovery is about with finding something that is already there - like finding a gold deposit. Invention is an ingenious product of a culmination of many contributing ideas, like the invention of the telephone. On the other hand, creativity is the product of a single mind like a play by Shakespeare. Actually, there is a great deal more to the scientific process, but ’seeing the big picture’ requires an ability to understand the relationship between relationships.

    Forecasting scientific breakthroughs requires a look into the prospects of science principles, technologies, and the economic incentives to identify areas of strategic opportunity.

    Lessons can be taken from past efforts. In a recent review of a 40 year-old forecasting study, Richard E. Albright commented on the one hundred technical innovations identified as being considered very likely to be developed in the last third of the twentieth century. While fewer than 50% of the predicted innovations were considered “good and timely,” Albright found that the accuracy rate for the areas of computers and communications rose to about 80%.

    Further, Albright concluded that “we should look for sustained and continuing trends in underlying technologies, where increasing capabilities enable more complex applications and declining costs drive a positive innovation loop, lowering the cost of innovation and enabling wider learning and contributions from more people, thus sustaining the technology trends.”

    The growth of a new technological capability typically follows an S-shaped curve which follows three stages. First a slow initial growth allows the new technology to prove its superiority over previous technology. Once this is demonstrated, rapid growth follows. Finally, growth is limited by technological or socioeconomic competition which leads to an asymptotical leveling off.

    The S-shaped curve illustrates the progress of many inventions such as electrical appliances. Many of the early analog signal processing devices developed a paradigm shift which took nearly 50 years to come to practical fruition as the adoption and utilization of independently powered analog machines followed an S-shaped curve. Today, the growth of the digital competitors is following a similar pattern.

    In Connections: Patterns of Discovery the patterns of discovery are presented that produced Moore’s Law and the book explores the question, “What is the software equivalent of Moore’s Law?”

    The patterns challenge the reader to think of the consequences of extrapolating trends, such as, how Moore’s Law could reach machine intelligence, or retrench in the face of physical limitations.
    From this perspective, the book draws the ‘big picture’ for the Information Revolution’s innovations in chips, devices, software, and networks. One goal of science is ubiquitous intelligence (UI) where everyone is connected to devices with access to Artificial Intelligence (AI) - offering what Google founder Larry Page calls ‘perfect search.’

    REFERENCES

    Connections: Patterns of Discovery

    Developing Semantic Web Services

    Web Site:
    Video Software Lab

    Long Term Information Technology Forecasting / Author: H. Peter Alesso

    Occupation:
    H. Peter Alesso is an innovator with twenty years of research experience at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL). As Engineering Group Leader at LLNL, he led a team of computer scientists and engineers in a wide range of successful software and hardware research projects. He has published several software titles, numerous scientific journal and conference articles, and five books.
    http://www.videosoftwarelab.com

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